30.12.2021
2 min read

NSW Health Minister Brad Hazzard’s COVID case January prediction could be on track

Only two weeks ago, Brad Hazzard cautioned NSW to be prepared for 25,000 daily cases. The state’s spiking infections suggest he could be right.
Jack GramenzBy Jack Gramenz

Epidemiologist blasts proposed changes to close contact rules

Health Minister Brad Hazzard’s mid-December prediction of a potential 25,000 daily COVID-19 cases in NSW has come into sharper focus as the infection rate continues to soar.

NSW is working to clear a backlog of coronavirus tests still awaiting results, with the daily caseload hitting 12,226 new infections on Thursday - just a day after recording 11,201 and up more than double on the previous day’s 6062.

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The spiking case numbers come in the wake of Mr Hazzard’s December 15 warning that modelling suggested “by the end of January, we could be looking at 25,000 cases of the virus every single day”.

NSW Health Minister Brad Hazzard. Credit: PAUL BRAVEN/AAPIMAGE

Premier Dominic Perrottet will join his state and territory counterparts at an emergency National Cabinet meeting on Thursday, seeking country-wide consistency on close contact definitions and isolation periods.

Rapid antigen tests - and the crucial question of who pays for them - are also expected to be on the agenda as a number of states and territories join NSW in reporting record-high daily case numbers as the Omicron variant takes hold around the country.

“I certainly believe it would be best if we had a national approach and I certainly look forward to having those discussions as we move through the meeting,” Mr Perrottet said on Wednesday.

In addition to the Omicron variant sparking close contact alerts as positive case numbers surge, PCR test requirements for interstate travel have also caused significant delays to results.

“There are many people who are lining up in those queues who do not need to be there,” Mr Perrottet said.

Members of the public queue in their cars for COVID-19 PCR tests at a clinic at North Ryde in Sydney. Credit: MICK TSIKAS/AAPIMAGE

NSW is now advising people to only line up for PCR tests if they are actually unwell, or if they have been told to get tested by NSW Health.

The state on Wednesday ordered an additional 30 million rapid antigen tests, the premier said, adding to 20 million that are expected to arrive next month.

“We want to make sure these tests are available to those who need them ... but ultimately for those people who have less financial means, who are more vulnerable, then the state is there to support that,” Mr Perrottet said.

On Wednesday NSW had 625 people in hospital with the virus, 61 of them in intensive care, with 23 on ventilators.

Mr Perrottet says it is “incredibly pleasing” the state still has strong capacity in hospitals and intensive care units, giving credit to a high vaccination rate and boosters for those eligible.

Close contact definition may soon change.

Close contact definition may soon change.